Tuesday, November 8, 2016

What Happens on Wednesday?

Today marks the merciful end of the 2016 presidential election. By midnight, we most likely will know which candidate has prevailed and will be tasked with the responsibility of leading this nation through the end of the decade. Soon afterward, the deluge of campaign commercials will disappear from our televisions and, with a little luck, our mad world will regain a measure of sanity. Yet, as anxious as I am to usher in the end of this election cycle, I wonder if the damage that has been wrought is irreparable. One question in particular nags me.

What kind of country will we be on Wednesday, November 9?

The expedient answer is the dismissive one. Nothing will change. Everything will be fine. Nobody’s life is much affected by the triviality of selecting the next leader of the free world, anyway.

I beg to differ. Not this time. Not after the campaign that Donald Trump has waged for the White House.     

Since the announcement of his candidacy in June 2015, Mr. Trump has sold the electorate a vision of America so dystopian that I wonder if the windows at Trump Tower require a more rigorous cleaning. Trump has placed America in front of a funhouse mirror, presenting the nation with an image of itself as a crime-infested hellscape. In his view, the United States has lost its place atop the global marketplace due to the mismanagement of political elites who have enriched themselves at the expense of their fellow citizens. And, like other aspiring authoritarians, Trump has offered his rabid supporters a mixture of  vulnerable and powerful scapegoats to blame not only for America’s perceived decline, but also for their own reversals of fortune. Into the former group Trump has placed undocumented Mexican immigrants and Muslim refugees seeking asylum in the United States. Mexican immigrants, according to Trump, are stealing jobs and driving up crime rates, while Muslim refugees cannot be trusted to assimilate and very well may plot terrorist attacks. Onto the list of powerful saboteurs Trump has lumped together the media, the political establishment, international corporations, various special interest groups, and countries like China and Mexico, which he claims are taking advantage of lopsided trade deals. 

Does it matter that illegal immigration has zero impact on jobs and wages? Is it surprising that Donald Trump’s claim about illegal immigration causing an increase in crime is not supported by empirical evidence? Should Trump supporters reconsider their candidate’s dire warning about the dangers of Syrian refugees in light of the two-year vetting process the United States has in place for asylum applicants? How does one reconcile the fact that the television networks handed the Trump campaign $2 billion in free advertising during the primary season with the notion that the media has somehow tipped the scales against the GOP candidate? Is it disingenuous for Trump to target a political establishment that has endorsed him and helped him craft a list of potential Supreme Court nominees, thereby assuaging any concerns about the Republican nominee’s conservative bona fides? Is it disconcerting that Trump’s concerns about a cabal of global special interests derailing his election chances bear a resemblance to the plot of The Protocols of the Elders of Zion? Should we engage more with the nuances of the free trade issue instead of resorting to simplistic declarations of failure?  

Of course not. Because, according to Trump, the entire system has been rigged against him. In this environment, facts no longer matter because the integrity of the journalists entrusted with establishing the truth has been challenged. Trump partisans have eschewed the reportage of The New York Times and the Washington Post in favor of “more venerable” outlets like Breitbart and the Drudge Report. 

On these Trump-friendly websites, one can blissfully avoid stories about Donald Trump’s history of stiffing contractors and outsourcing business. Into these dark recesses of the internet one intrepidly travels to discover the “evidence” that the racist Obama birther conspiracy in which Donald Trump reveled for years actually originated with the Clinton campaign in 2008. Rather than wrestle with the implications of Trump’s history of sexual harassment, a reader can indulge in the lurid catalogue of Bill Clinton’s indiscretions. In this alt-right oasis, Khizr Khan is not a grieving father wronged by Donald Trump, but a Sharia Law proponent and a supporting player in the criminal outfit known as the Clinton Global Initiative. Moreover, Donald Trump’s racist attacks on a Mexican judge presiding over a lawsuit involving Trump University are deceitfully substantiated and his absurd claim that “thousands” of Muslims in New Jersey celebrated the fall of the Twin Towers on 9/11 is accepted. Most importantly, Donald Trump’s fundamental inability to articulate a substantive policy on any issue is ignored, while the various shortcomings of Hillary Clinton are scrutinized and imagined scandals are contrived. Trump-friendly outfits like Breitbart would never expose the confidence scheme their favored candidate has been orchestrating because they are cashing in on it.

But make no mistake: Donald Trump is a charlatan. He is an aggressively ignorant buffoon who erroneously believes he can conceal his lack of fitness for the office he seeks by speaking loudly and audaciously.

And yet, Donald Trump will garner a significant portion of the popular vote. Nate Silver’s reputable 538 blog projects 45% of voters will cast their ballots for Mr. Trump in the general election. Judging by previous cycles, this percentage should translate into somewhere around 60 million votes.

Of these tens of millions of citizens, the overwhelming majority would not fit into what Hillary Clinton infamously labeled a “basket of deplorables.” Taking into account the high unfavorable ratings of the two major party candidates, one might safely assume that a significant portion of Trump voters will be motivated more by a disregard for Hillary Clinton than an affinity for the Republican candidate. Undoubtedly, many pro-life voters will reject Hillary Clinton on principle. A large number will support Donald Trump because he is the Republican candidate and, no matter their personal feelings about the man, he best represents the conservative values that they believe are most suitable for the country. Furthermore, economic anxieties that are driven by problems like the soaring cost of health care premiums and long-term unemployment will push voters to the Republican banner.

It is this last issue of economic angst that I believe has driven much of Trump’s support among the “non-college educated white male” portion of the electorate. It has provided the fertile soil needed for the seeds of xenophobia and racism that Trump has sown to bloom. We saw a similar historical pattern with the rise of the Native American Party from the ashes of the Panic of 1837. Back then, the Irish were pegged as the source of the country’s woes. They allegedly committed crimes at outsized rates and took work away from “native-born” Americans. According to these proto-Know Nothings, the Irish Catholic presence constituted an existential threat to the established Protestant identity of the country. Does any of this sound remotely familiar?

We can dismiss the Trump campaign as an historical aberration. We can pretend that Trump is the disease and not merely a symptom of an ailing system. But we would do so in error. Trump has exploited a tumor on the body politic that we assumed was shrinking as our society progressed. Our negligence has caused a metastasis.

Deindustrialization and globalization have ravaged the economic stability our nation enjoyed in the postwar period of the 1950s. One need look no further than Kensington, an industrial powerhouse that has been reduced to an abandoned slum teeming with drugs and despair, to witness the erosion these forces have caused. Though the American economy has generally recovered by transitioning to a services-oriented model and relying on technological innovation, we have not addressed the vast displacement these changes have caused. Even if Donald Trump’s chimerical promise to “Make America Great Again” by repatriating long-lost industrial jobs could hypothetically be realized, the sad truth that machines would replace much of the workforce seems lost on his fan base.

The jobs of the 1950s are leaving; they have been for a time that long predates NAFTA. The ability to carve out a middle-class existence and earn a pension with a blue-collar job is disappearing. American labor has priced itself out of the industrial sector. High tariffs and protectionist policies will not save us from the efficient machines that are rapidly taking the place of humans in the job market.

We have choices to make. When the Democrats are finished congratulating themselves for their historic nomination of Hillary Clinton, they can choose to ignore or reckon with their selection of a flawed candidate. Yes, Hillary Clinton will be the first woman to assume the office of president. Yes, this is an historic accomplishment that was long overdue. We can grant these points while also acknowledging that Hillary Clinton and her political team represent much of what has plagued the culture of Washington, DC: the cozy relationships with Wall Street; the monetization of government service through the creation of a revolving door from public service to private enterprise (the money-for-access deals struck by the Clinton Foundation only reinforce the perception of self-dealing); the formulation of policy that caters more to special interest groups than the general public; the advancement of rhetoric about Republicans “shipping jobs overseas” in order to win elections, but the seeming indifference to the concerns of union workers when international free trade deals are initiated; and the quixotic desire to pursue an interventionist foreign policy without drawing any lessons from our painful experiences of the past decade in Afghanistan, Iraq, and Libya.

On the Republican side, the GOP must purge itself of Trumpism. General elections cannot be won by alienating huge swaths of minority voters. The tent must expand lest the party fade into irrelevance. Simple solutions to complex problems must be rejected in favor of a more comprehensive approach. A blanket acceptance of charter schools will not fix our education system; a wall will not stem the flow of drugs into our country or curb the desire of Hispanic migrants seeking work and refuge from the gang violence that plagues parts of Mexico and Central America. Panaceas do not exist. The Party must work with its Democratic colleagues in Congress to find actual solutions for these matters. To that end, obstructionism can no longer be embraced as an operating philosophy. Self-serving ideologues like Ted Cruz who attempt to hold the business of government hostage until their demands are met must be relegated to the back bench, not empowered.

We need to talk to one another. We must resist the urge to yell and instead try to listen. Empathy and charity need to take on a greater role in our public discourse.

The folks who have complained about the two choices with which we have been presented today must consider how we arrived at this point. Our widespread apathy toward politics has amplified the voices of the most extreme elements. We have allowed them to dominate the conversation. If you want to change the tone of said conversation, you need to participate in it.

To that end, we need to stop rewarding with our viewership television networks that cover politics in a way that prioritizes personality conflicts over substantive discussion. The talking-point robots that argue for our entertainment do not advance the debate. They poison it.

We must demand more from our candidates for local and state offices. Television commercials touting a state representative’s position on various third rail issues should have little impact. An aspiring state legislator’s position on sanctuary cities, for example, does not matter a great deal; rather, he should tell us how he plans to plug the hole in the state’s pension system. A more informed and engaged electorate will produce better candidates for office and a healthier political dialogue.

We must realize that though we have differences, we are not all that different. There is more common ground on seemingly intractable issues than we might realize.

On Tuesday, the election ends. The show, thankfully, will be over.

On Wednesday, the real work of healing this nation and bridging partisan divides begins.

What kind of country do we want to be?


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